Econometrics (2008)

Econometrics (2008)

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1、EconometricsBadiH.BaltagiEconometricsFourthEdition123ProfessorBadiH.BaltagiSyracuseUniversityCenterforPolicyResearch426EggersHallSyracuse,NY13244-1020USAbbaltagi@maxwell.syr.eduISBN978-3-540-76515-8e-ISBN978-3-540-76516-5DOI10.1007/978-3-540-76516-5Libraryo

2、fCongressControlNumber:2007939803c2008Springer-VerlagBerlinHeidelbergThisworkissubjecttocopyright.Allrightsarereserved,whetherthewholeorpartofthematerialisconcerned,specificallytherightsoftranslation,reprinting,reuseofillustrations,recitation,broadcasting,

3、reproductiononmicrofilmorinanyotherway,andstorageindatabanks.DuplicationofthispublicationorpartsthereofispermittedonlyundertheprovisionsoftheGermanCopyrightLawofSeptember9,1965,initscurrentversion,andpermissionforusemustalwaysbeobtainedfromSpringer.Violatio

4、nsareliabletoprosecutionundertheGermanCopyrightLaw.Theuseofgeneraldescriptivenames,registerednames,trademarks,etc.inthispublicationdoesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfromtherelevantprotectivelawsandregulationsandtherefor

5、efreeforgeneraluse.Production:LE-TEXJelonek,Schmidt&V?cklerGbR,LeipzigCoverdesign:WMXDesignGmbH,HeidelbergPrintedonacid-freepaper987654321springer.comToMyWifePhyllisPrefaceThisbookisintendedfora?rstyeargraduatecourseineconometrics.Coursesrequiringmatrixalge

6、braasapre-requisitetoeconometricscanstartwithChapter7.Chapter2hasaquickrefresheronsomeoftherequiredbackgroundneededfromstatisticsfortheproperunderstandingofthematerialinthisbook.Foranadvancedundergraduate/mastersclassnotrequiringmatrixalgebra,onecanstructur

7、eacoursebasedonChapter1;Section2.6ondescriptivestatistics;Chapters3-6;Section11.1onsimultaneousequations;andChapter14ontime-seriesanalysis.Thisbookteachessomeofthebasiceconometricmethodsandtheunderlyingassumptionsbehindthem.Estimation,hypothesestestingandpr

8、edictionarethreerecurrentthemesinthisbook.Someusesofeconometricmethodsinclude(i)empiricaltestingofeconomicthe-ory,whetheritisthepermanentincomeconsumptiontheoryorpurchasingpowerparity,(ii)forecasting,w

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