foundations of modern probability - olav kallenberg

foundations of modern probability - olav kallenberg

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1、FoundationsofModernProbabilityOlavKallenbergSpringerPrefaceSomethirtyyearsagoitwasstillpossible,asLo`evesoablydemonstrated,towriteasinglebookinprobabilitytheorycontainingpracticallyeverythingworthknowinginthesubject.Thesubsequentdevelopmenthasbeenex-plosive,

2、andtodayacorrespondingcomprehensivecoveragewouldrequireawholelibrary.Researchersandgraduatestudentsalikeseemcompelledtoaratherextremedegreeofspecialization.Asaresult,thesubjectisthreatenedbydisintegrationintodozensorhundredsofsub?elds.Atthesametimetheinterac

3、tionbetweentheareasislivelierthanever,andthereisasteadilygrowingcoreofkeyresultsandtechniquesthateveryprobabilistneedstoknow,ifonlytoreadtheliteratureinhisorherown?eld.Thus,itseemsessentialthatweallhaveatleastageneraloverviewofthewholearea,andweshoulddowhatw

4、ecantokeepthesubjecttogether.Thepresentvolumeisanearnestattemptinthatdirection.Myoriginalaimwastowriteabookabout“everything.”Variousspaceandtimeconstraintsforcedmetoacceptmoremodestandrealisticgoalsfortheproject.Thus,“foundations”hadtobeunderstoodinthenarrow

5、ersenseoftheearly1970s,andtherewasnoroomforsomeofthemorerecentdevelopments.Iespeciallyregrettheomissionoftopicssuchaslargede-viations,GibbsandPalmmeasures,interactingparticlesystems,stochasticdi?erentialgeometry,Malliavincalculus,SPDEs,measure-valueddi?usion

6、s,andbranchingandsuperprocesses.Clearlyplentyoffundamentalandin-triguingmaterialremainsforapossiblesecondvolume.Evenwithmymorelimited,revisedambitions,Ihadtobeextremelyselectiveinthechoiceofmaterial.Moreimportantly,itwasnecessarytolookforthemosteconomicalapp

7、roachtoeveryresultIdiddecidetoinclude.Inthelatterrespect,Iwassurprisedtoseehowmuchcouldactuallybedonetosimplifyandstreamlineproofs,oftenhandeddownthroughgenerationsoftextbookwriters.Mygeneralpreferencehasbeenforresultsconveyingsomenewideaorrelationship,where

8、asmanypropositionsofamoretechnicalnaturehavebeenomitted.Inthesamevein,Ihaveavoidedtechnicalorcomputationalproofsthatgivelittleinsightintotheprovenresults.Thisconformswithmyconvictionthatthelogic

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