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《貴州農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格影響因素分析附預(yù)測(cè)研究以豬肉價(jià)格為例》由會(huì)員上傳分享，免費(fèi)在線閱讀，更多相關(guān)內(nèi)容在行業(yè)資料-天天文庫(kù)。
1、貴州財(cái)經(jīng)學(xué)院在校學(xué)生科研項(xiàng)目結(jié)題報(bào)告項(xiàng)目名稱：貴州省農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格影響因素分析及預(yù)測(cè)研究---以豬肉價(jià)格為例負(fù)責(zé)人：董志萍所在院系：數(shù)學(xué)與統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)院指導(dǎo)老師：張文專完成時(shí)間：2011年12月課題組成員：董志萍（統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)）印明輝（統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)）二零壹壹年科研處制目錄1緒論······························································11.1研究背景·······················································11.2研究目地·················
2、······································21.3研究現(xiàn)狀·······················································21.4研究思路與方法路線·············································31.4.1研究方法····················································31.4.1技術(shù)路線···············································
3、·····31.5研究創(chuàng)新之處以及不足···········································31.5.1研究地創(chuàng)新之處··············································31.5.2研究中存在地不足············································42農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格形成機(jī)制及影響因素分析（以豬肉價(jià)格為例）·················42.1豬肉價(jià)格形成機(jī)制研究·········································
4、··42.2豬肉價(jià)格影響因素分析···········································42.2.1市場(chǎng)內(nèi)部影響因素············································52.2.2市場(chǎng)外部影響因素············································72.3豬肉價(jià)格影響因素地測(cè)度········································82.3.1變量與樣本地選擇··································
5、·········82.3.2模型形式與估計(jì)方法·········································92.3.3估計(jì)結(jié)果分析···············································93豬肉價(jià)格短期預(yù)測(cè)模型地構(gòu)建和應(yīng)用································103.1研究方法以及模型地基本原理···································103.1.1研究方法········································
6、··········103.1.2模型地基本原理············································113.2估計(jì)步驟·····················································123.2.1利用ADF檢驗(yàn)序列及其一階差分地平穩(wěn)性······················123.2.2選擇模型地滯后階數(shù)········································133.2.3Granger因果檢驗(yàn)··························
7、·················133.2.4Johansen協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)及模型地建立·······························143.2.5誤差修正模型地構(gòu)建·········································144研究結(jié)論對(duì)于貴州省生豬產(chǎn)業(yè)以及整個(gè)農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展地現(xiàn)實(shí)意義·············144.1研究結(jié)論對(duì)生豬養(yǎng)殖業(yè)地意義····································144.2研究結(jié)論對(duì)貴州省農(nóng)產(chǎn)品市場(chǎng)地一般意義··························154
8、.3啟示··················································
