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1、西安理工大學博士學位論文(5)通過分析現(xiàn)有政策體制下和政策改進后的流域水資源配置的經(jīng)濟效應，說明要想使流域配置實現(xiàn)主體利益的帕累托改進，即達到絕對合作利益空間分布區(qū)，政府必須進行一定的政策改進以適應新的流域水資源配置模式。將政策改進過程視為難度自增殖系統(tǒng)，通過政策改進旋進路徑的分析表明，政策的改進過程是一個螺旋上升的過程，不可能一蹴而就。最后提出了一些流域水資源配置的政策建議。關鍵詞：水資源配置，博弈論，沖突分析，補償，風險分析，旋進策略本研究得到國家自然科學基金(40501011)和青海省科技廳項目(2
2、004．G．158)資助．Ⅱ壘!坐絲RESEARCHOFWATERRESoURCESRATlONALDISTRIBLITIONBASEDONCONFLICT，COMPENSATIONANDRISKANALYSIS——CASEASTHEYELLOWRIVERWATERSHEDSubject：WaterResourcesandHydrologyDate：April。2007AdViSer：HuangQiangProfessorSjllature：AUthor：XiaZhongSinatUre：Abstract
3、WaterresourcesrationaldistributionisaneffectivemeasnretoresolvewatershortageproblemofourcountryfacingtonOWandinfuture．Fromoriginandcharacterofwaterresourcesdistribution，comflictproblemsinwaterresourcesdistributionareanalyzedbyapplyingcorrelationtheoriesof
4、economicsandwaterresources，sustainabledevelopmentwaterresourcesdistributionmodeisrecommended．CaseastheYellowRiverwatershed，s'imulationmodelofwaterresourcesrationaldistributionbasedoncompensationisestablished．Distributionschemesarecalculatedandcvaluated．Wa
5、terresourcesrationaldistributionwatershedscheme，measures，policiesandsomesuggestsareputforward．Themainresearchcontentandresultsareasfollows：(1)Byapplinggametheory，waterresourcesdistributioncomflictproblemsareanalyzedandfourdifferentdistributionmodesareputf
6、orward，i·e．“PublicTerraTragedy”mode，watershedadministerinstitutioncontrolmode，watershedinstitutionmanagementmodebasedoncompensationmechanismandtheself-constrainmode-Thegamematrixisputforwardtoanalyseanddiscussthefourwaterresourcesdistributionmodesandittes
7、tswatershedinstitutionmanagementmodebasedoncompensationmechanismisthemosteffectivedistributionmode，andtheself-constrainmodeiseffectiveapproachtosolvewatershortageproblem．(2)Aimedatrationalwaterresourcesdistributionmode，conflictmodelisIIT西安理工大學博士學位論文establ
8、ishedbyusingtheconflictanalysistechniquesofFraserandHipei(，一Ⅳ)，inwhichtherearethreesidesconcerned，i．e．thewatershedinstitute，theupstreamdistrictandthedownstreamdistrict．Byconsideringtwostrategiescarriedoutbywatershed
