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1、對外經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文EmpiricalTestforSequentialHerdBehaviorinChina'sStockMarket--howdoinvestorsmakedecisions?姓名:符睿芬申請學(xué)位級別:碩士專業(yè):金融學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師:薛熠201105AbstractTheeconomicliteraturecontainsmanytheoreticalandempiricalanalysesofnon-sequentialherdbehaviorbutrelativelyfewstu
2、diesofsequentialherdbehavior.Thispaperaimstoaddressthatshortcoming.Incompleteinformationstaticgamemodelshowsthatindividualinvestorswillalwaysjudgethedealer’Ssituationaccordingtothepseudosignalthattheinstitutionalinvestorsend,andthenmakemeirdecisions.Thela
3、rgeramountofthestock’Svolumeheldbyinstitutionalinvestors,orthemorethefalseinformation,thelesstheindividualinvestors’profit.Empiricalherdbehaviortestbasedondatasamplefrom2010--08··30to2011—-03--03ofeachtransactionrecordsofallthestocktradinginShanghaisecuri
4、tiesmarketindicatesthat:1)SignificantsequentialherdingbehaviorofindividualinvestortoinstitutionalinvestorWasfound.2)Individualinvestorsshowpositivefeedbacktothechangeofmarketretuillandinstitutionalinvestors’behaviorinthesameperiod,whichinferthatindividual
5、investorsCangettradinginformationandreacttoitinaveryshortperiod.Institutionalinvestorshavepositivefeedbacktoone—periodlagmarketinformation.3)Accordingtothetestresults,wecaninferthatindividualinvestorsarenotinformationinvestor.Astoinstitutionalinvestors,me
6、yCaninfluenceindividualinvestorsandthewholemarket.Eveniftheydon’thavemoreinformationaboutthemarket,theyCanmanipulatethemarketbyusingtheircapitalpowerandtheirinfluencepowertoindividualinvestors’behavior.Keywords:sequentialherdbehavior,institutionalinvestor
7、s,individualinvestorsA.BackgroundI.IntroductionSecuritiesmarketreferstothe圈肛nofsupplyanddemandrelationshipformedfromtransactionofsecurityassetsanditsmechanism,itisthetransactionsplaceforbothsidesofthecapitalsupplyanddemandtorealizecurrencylendingandfinanc
8、ingthroughvariouschannels.StockmarkethasnUlllerOUSparticipants:enterprise,individual,government,financialinstitutions,thedepositfinancialinstitutionsandothersecuritiesregulators,thoseparticipantshavedaedalrelationsh