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1、山東師范大學碩士學位論文aspects.Firstly,theregulatingcapacityoftheNansihuLakeislow.Secondly,theNansihuLakeandrelatedriversareseriouslypolluted,mostofwhichcannotsatisfywiththedemandsofindustry,agricultureanddailylife.(3)Artificialecologyandnaturalecologyarebroughtintowaterresourcecarryingcapacity.Thentheregiona
2、lwaterresourcecarryingcapacityevaluationsystemhasbeenbuiltup.Theevaluationsystemnotonlyreflectsthesupplyandrequirememstateoftheregionalwaterresource,butalsoshowstheeconomyscaleandthepopulationscalecarriedbythewaterresourcesystem.Atthegametime,itreflectstheharmonyextentamongthewaterresourcesystem,ec
3、osystem,environmentandsocioeconomicsystem.(4)Thewaterresourcescarryingcapacityevaluationarccomposedofmacroscopicalcalculation,monomialindexcalculation,theAnalyticHierarchyProcessandsyntheticalindexcalculation.Withtherestrictionoftheavailablewaterresource,themaxeconomyscalesin2004,2010,2020,2030are2
4、4.430billionRMB,24.710billionRMB,45.809billionRMBand80.606billionRMBrespectively,whilethemaxpopulationscalesare3.8778xi06,3.9222x106,3.5238x106and3.3586x106respectivelyWiththerestrictionoftheavailablewaterresource,themaxeconomyscalesare10.098billionRMB,12.685billionRMBand47.360billionRMBin2004,2010
5、,2020and2030,whilethemaxpopulationscalesare1.6029x106,2.0135x106,1.8302x106and1.9732x106respectively.Syntheticalindexcalculationisrepresentedbycarryingcapacityindexandharmonyindex.ThecarryingcapacityindexoftheNansihuLakewaterresourcesin2004,2010,2020and2030are1.0618,0.9452,0.9756and0.9716,whiletheh
6、armonyindexare0.7891,0.8580.0.9821and0.9925.ThestudyonwaterresourcecarryingcapacityofNansihuLakeenrichesthetheoryofwaterresourcocarryingcapacity.ItoffersreferencesformaintainingsustainabledevelopmentofNansihuLake.Keywords:NansihuLake;waterresource;carryingcapacity;sustainabledevelopmentCLCNumber:.P
7、941.78IV山東師范大學碩士學位論文獨創(chuàng)聲明本人聲明所呈交的學位論文是本人在導師指導下進行的研究工作及取得的研究成果。據(jù)我所知,除了文中特別加以標注和致謝的地方外,論文中不包含其他人已經(jīng)發(fā)表或撰寫過的研究成果,也不包含為獲得(注:如沒有其他需要特別聲明的,本欄可空)或其他教育機構(gòu)的學位或證書使用過的材料。與我一同工作的同志對本研究所做的任何貢獻均已在論文中作了明確的說明并表示謝意。學位論文作者簽名:一三凳