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《城市燃?xì)廨斉涔芫W(wǎng)系統(tǒng)的危機(jī)管理研究》由會(huì)員上傳分享，免費(fèi)在線閱讀，更多相關(guān)內(nèi)容在學(xué)術(shù)論文-天天文庫(kù)。
1、天津大學(xué)博士學(xué)位論文城市燃?xì)廨斉涔芫W(wǎng)系統(tǒng)的危機(jī)管理研究姓名：付聰申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別：博士專業(yè)：工程管理指導(dǎo)教師：尹貽林20090201ABSTRACTThefailureofurbangaspipelinealwayscausefiredisasterandexplosion，theaccidentcanthreatenpeopleandpropertyinthevicinityofthefailurelocation．Itisimportantandnecessarytostudythefailurecrisisofurbangaspipeline．Theoriesan
2、dmethodologiesofriskanalysis，earlywaningandemergencymanagementareintegratedunderthestructureofcrisismanagementtheory．Throughreviewingdeficiencyoftheresearchesonurbangaspipelinesysteminthesethreefields，thisdissertationmainlystudiedthefailureofurbangaspipelinesystemBasedonthecrisismanage
3、menttheory．1．Intheresearchonriskofpipeline．Firstly,usingtheFTA(faulttreeanalysis)toimplementasystemicallyriskidentificationofurbangaspipeline．Second，restructuringthepipelineriskindexsystemtoimprovetheanalysisandassessmentofriskmoreefficiencyandapplicableforgaspipelinesystem．Then，combin
4、ingthefaultprobabilityandeffectsanalysisbyRBI(riskbasedinspection)methodtoquantitativeriskevaluationandriskranking．Ariskassessmentsystemisconstructedbyintegratingthisthree—stepmethod．Itprovidesanentirepipelineriskassessmentwithidentification，analysis，evaluationandranking．2．Onthebaseofs
5、tudiesonapplicablescopeforgasleakageanddiffusionmodelsingaspipeline，modelsoffailureconsequenceanalysis，includingholeleakage，Gaussiandiffusion，jetfireandexplosion，areselectedjustforfaultofgaspipeline．Then，accordingtothecharactersofgaspipeline，simplifiedmodelsareproposed．Basedonthem，afai
6、lureforecastwaningmodelisobtained．Theasdamagescopeandfatalitiesiscalculatedandwarningrankingisdefinedconsistenttoinitiaterankingingaspipelineemergencyplan．3．ProgramsbasedonGISaredevelopedwithfailureforecastwarningmodelviaVC++programmingandMATLAB．Afunctionmoduleoffaultconsequenceanalysi
7、sisobtained．WimtheadvantagesofvisualizationinGIS．thewarningareaofgasleakagelocationcarlbedivisional，andintegratedemergencyresponseisrealized．Morescientificdecisionsandeffectivesupportscanbeacquiredbythisfunction．AconceptualframeworkofgaspipelineemergencyplatformisproposedbasedonGIS．4
