Time Series Analysis時(shí)間系列分析

Time Series Analysis時(shí)間系列分析

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時(shí)間:2019-06-24

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1、TimeSeriesAnalysisOutline1Timeseriesinastronomy2Frequencydomainmethods3Timedomainmethods4ReferencesTimeseriesinastronomyPeriodicphenomena:binaryorbits(stars,extrasolarplanets);stellarrotation(radiopulsars);pulsation(helioseismology,Cepheids)Stochasticphenomena:accretion(C

2、Vs,X-raybinaries,Seyfertgals,quasars);scintillation(interplanetary&interstellarmedia);jetvariations(blazars)Explosivephenomena:thermonuclear(novae,X-raybursts),magneticreconnection(solar/stellar?ares),stardeath(supernovae,gamma-raybursts)Di?cultiesinastronomicaltimeseries

3、Gappeddatastreams:Diurnal&monthlycycles;satelliteorbitalcycles;telescopeallocationsHeteroscedasticmeasurementerrors:Signal-to-noiseratiodi?ersfrompointtopointPoissonprocesses:Individualphoton/particleeventsinhigh-energyastronomyImportantFourierFunctionsDiscreteFourierTran

4、sformXn?1/2d(ωj)=nxtexp(?2πitωj)t=1XnXn?1/2?1/2d(ωj)=nxtcos(2πiωjt)?inxtsin(2πiωjt)t=1t=1Classical(Schuster)Periodogram2I(ωj)=

5、d(ωj)

6、SpectralDensityhX=∞f(ω)=exp(?2πiωh)γ(h)h=?∞Fourieranalysisrevealsnothingoftheevolutionintime,butratherrevealsthevarianceofthesignalatdi?ere

7、ntfrequencies.Itcanbeprovedthattheclassicalperiodogramisanestimatorofthespectraldensity,theFouriertransformoftheautocovariancefunction.Formally,theprobabilityofaperiodicsignalinGaussiannoiseisP∝ed(ωj)/σ2.GingaobservationsofX-raybinaryGX5-1GX5-1isabinarystarsystemwithgasfr

8、omanormalcompanionaccretingontoaneutronstar.HighlyvariableX-raysareproducedintheinneraccretiondisk.XRBtimeseriesoftenshow‘rednoise’and‘quasi-periodicoscillations’,probablyfrominhomogeneitiesinthedisk.Weplotbelowthe?rst5000of65,536countratesfromGingasatelliteobservationsdu

9、ringthe1980s.gx=scan(”?/Desktop/CASt/SumSch/TSA/GX.dat”)t=1:5000plot(t,gx[1:5000],pch=20)FastFourierTransformoftheGX5-1timeseriesrevealsthe‘rednoise’(highspectralamplitudeatsmallfrequencies),theQPO(broadenedspectralpeakaround0.35),andwhitenoise.f=0:32768/65536I=(4/65536)*

10、abs(?t(gx)/sqrt(65536))?2plot(f[2:60000],I[2:60000],type=”l”,xlab=”Frequency”)Limitationsofthesp

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