Wade_on_the_debt_crisis

Wade_on_the_debt_crisis

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1、TheFirst-WorldDebtCrisisof2007–2010inGlobalPerspectiveTheFirst-WorldDebtCrisisof2007–2010inGlobalPerspectiveRobertWadeWedonotyetknowhowbadthecurrentcreditcrisiswillget.Butwedoknowthatpoliciesinrichnations,dominatedbytheUnitedStates,wereoftentheoppositeofcorrective.Astheauthorwritesi

2、nthisincisivereviewoftheeventsthatledtothecrisis,whileboomtimesrolledon,thecostofcreditfell,generatingpro-cyclicalmomentumthatmademattersworse.Anewregulatoryapparatusisneeded,heargues,onethatismoreaggressivethaniscurrentlybeingdiscussed.“IwouldplacetheU.S.currentaccount[de?cit]fardo

3、wnthelistofimbalancestoworryabout.”—AlanGreenspan,chairmanoftheU.S.FederalReservefrom1987to2006ROM2001TO2007THEWORLDECONOMYGREWFASTERTHANINANYOTHERsix-yearperiodoverthepastthirtyyears.Mostdevelopingcoun-Ftriessharedintheboom,evenincludingsub-SaharanAfrica.Inthesecondhalfof2007,thebo

4、omturnedinto,ifnotbust,thenaperiodofuncertaintyandinstability.Therearestilloptimists,asofROBERTWADEisprofessorofpoliticaleconomyattheLondonSchoolofEconomicsandwinneroftheLeontiefPrizeforAdvancingtheFrontiersofEconomicThought,2008.Challenge,vol.51,no.4,July/August2008,pp.23–54.?2008M

5、.E.Sharpe,Inc.Allrightsreserved.ISSN0577–5132/2008$9.50+0.00.DOI:10.2753/0577–5132510402Challenge/July–August200823Wademid-May2008,whosaythatthecrisisisjustablip,likeachampionathlete’smusclestrainthatwillbe?xedwithabitofrestandphysicaltherapy.TheyemphasizethattheU.S.economyhasnotyet

6、hadaquar-terofof?ciallynegativegrowth;theU.S.governmenthaslaunchedastrongKeynesianmonetaryand?scalstimulus;equitiesarerallying,andinvestorsarebuyingnewbonds;themacroeconomicimpactsonLatinAmerica,Africa,SouthAsia,andEastAsiahavebeenmild;fastgrowthinEastAsiaisdrivenmorebydomesticandre

7、gionaldemandthanbyU.S.demand;andcontinuedgrowthindevelopingcountrieswillmitigatetheU.S.downturn.Theiroptimismre?ectstheirconvic-tionthat?nancialregulatorsshouldbesatis?edwithpledgesofmoretransparencyandbetterbehavior,sotheyshouldnotintroducenewregulatoryconstraints.Butmanyanalystswi

8、thoutvestedinterest

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