current-japenese-real-estate-market-jan-2011

current-japenese-real-estate-market-jan-2011

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時間:2019-08-10

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1、CurrentJapaneseRealEstateMarketJanuary20110ADVISORYCurrentJapaneseRealEstateMarketKPMGFASCo.,Ltd.January2011IntroductionLadiesandGentlemen,ThisreportaimstoprovideanoverviewofthecurrentJapaneserealestatemarketfromamacroperspective,aswellasaforecastofitsshort-termfuturebyanalyzinghistoricaltrend

2、sandtherelationshipswhichexistbetweencertainkeyindicatorswhichhaveinfluencedthemarket.Inthelastissue“CurrentJapaneseRealEstateMarket”(July2010),weidentifiedmarkettrendsindicatingthebottomingoutofthedownwardtrendinearly2010,hintingthattheJapaneserealestatemarketmayverywellbeonitswaytorecovery.T

3、hefirstpartofthisreportprovidesanoverviewofthedataandcurrentindicatorsthatrelateto,affect,andshowfurtherrecoveryintheJapaneserealestatemarket.Thesecondpartprovidesfactsandareasoffocuswhichmightbetakenintoaccountwheninvestorscontemplateinvestmentopportunitiesinthecurrentand/ornear-futureJapanes

4、erealestatemarket.Weidentifytheleadingindicatoroflandpricesandshowhowtwoelements,theJapaneseeconomyandrealestate,aremutuallyrelatedandhowtheyimpacttherealestatemarket.Finally,weattempttoestimatethetimingofthemarket’srecoverybyanalyzingthemovementsinthesetwoelements.Content:ExecutiveSummaryI.Si

5、gnsofMarketRecovery1.MarketSize–“SignofRecovery”2.DebtFinancing–“StabilizedBalancesandEmergenceofActiveLenders”■3.CapitalizationRate–“ShowingSignsofStabilization”4.OfficeRentandVacancy–“IndicatingVacancyRecoveryintheTokyoMarket”5.CorrelationofLandPrices,GDPGrowth,andOutstandingLoanBalances–“Cl

6、oserScrutinyofGDPGrowthandtheYen’sAppreciation”6.RecentInvestorSurvey–“AppetitesforNewInvestmentsReturn”II.CurrentFacts&Opportunities7.CMBS–“CMBSIssuanceonaPlateau”8.J-REITs–“SlowRecoveryandContinuedUndervaluation”9.AnticipationRegardingtheTimingofRecoveryinLandPricesandRealEstateTransactions–

7、“EconomicKPIsMayTellUstheTimingofRecovery”CurrentJapaneseRealEstateMarketJanuary20111ExecutiveSummaryI.SignsofMarketRecoveryWeidentifiedpositiveindicationsofrecoveryinthelastissue.Inthisissue,wetakealookatfurtherimprovementsandgrowthinc

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