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1、HANDBOOKOFDECISIONMAKINGEditedbyPAULC.NUTTANDDAVIDC.WILSONAJohnWileyandSons,Ltd.,PublicationThisedition?rstpublished2010C2010JohnWiley&Sons,LtdRegisteredof?ceJohnWiley&SonsLtd,TheAtrium,SouthernGate,Chichester,WestSussex,PO198SQ,UnitedKingdomFordetailsofourglobaleditoria
2、lof?ces,forcustomerservicesandforinformationabouthowtoapplyforpermissiontoreusethecopyrightmaterialinthisbookpleaseseeourwebsiteatwww.wiley.com.Therightoftheauthortobeidenti?edastheauthorofthisworkhasbeenassertedinaccordancewiththeCopyright,DesignsandPatentsAct1988.Allrig
3、htsreserved.Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced,storedinaretrievalsystem,ortransmitted,inanyformorbyanymeans,electronic,mechanical,photocopying,recordingorotherwise,exceptaspermittedbytheUKCopyright,DesignsandPatentsAct1988,withoutthepriorpermissionofthepublisher.Wiley
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5、rksorregisteredtrademarksoftheirrespectiveowners.Thepublisherisnotassociatedwithanyproductorvendormentionedinthisbook.Thispublicationisdesignedtoprovideaccurateandauthoritativeinformationinregardtothesubjectmattercovered.Itissoldontheunderstandingthatthepublisherisnotenga
6、gedinrenderingprofessionalservices.Ifprofessionaladviceorotherexpertassistanceisrequired,theservicesofacompetentprofessionalshouldbesought.LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationDataHandbookofdecisionmaking/editors,PaulNutt,DavidWilson.p.cm.ISBN978-1-4051-6135-01.Decis
7、ionmaking.I.Nutt,PaulC.II.Wilson,DavidC.(DavidCharles),1951–HD30.23.H3542010658.403–dc222009052103AcataloguerecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheBritishLibrary.Typesetin10/12ptBaskervillebyAptaraInc.,NewDelhi,IndiaPrintedinGreatBritainbyCPIAntonyRowe,Chippenham,WiltshirePa
8、ulToNancyDavisNuttDavidForJo,AlexandAmyWilsonContentsNotesontheContributorsixAbouttheEditorsxxiP