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1、畢業(yè)論文我國(guó)物價(jià)上漲的影響因素、趨勢(shì)與對(duì)策當(dāng)前,我國(guó)物價(jià)持續(xù)上漲,通貨膨脹壓力不斷加大,已經(jīng)成為影響國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行的突出孑盾,穩(wěn)定物價(jià)和控制通貨膨脹成為當(dāng)前宏觀調(diào)控的首要任務(wù),也是最為緊迫的任務(wù)。木文以CPI為指標(biāo),研究影響CPI波動(dòng)的各種因素,包括固定資產(chǎn)投資增t率、原材料價(jià)格指數(shù)、平均工資指數(shù)、農(nóng)產(chǎn)品生產(chǎn)價(jià)格指數(shù)、外匯儲(chǔ)備等。木文根據(jù)中國(guó)統(tǒng)計(jì)年鑒最近十年的數(shù)據(jù),利用多元線性回歸分析法研究影響CPT波動(dòng)的主要因索。研究發(fā)現(xiàn):CPT的變化主要受農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格以及原材料、勞動(dòng)力、土地等成本價(jià)格變化的影響。
2、最近幾年住房?jī)r(jià)格大幅上漲的原因就在于勞動(dòng)力、土地、能源和原材料等成本價(jià)格上漲,導(dǎo)致企業(yè)成木增加,從而推動(dòng)房?jī)r(jià)上漲。另外,在食品方面,以豬肉價(jià)格為例,也受到成木上漲的直接影響。文章最后根據(jù)結(jié)論與當(dāng)而國(guó)內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢(shì)預(yù)測(cè)未來(lái)住房、食品等主要商品價(jià)格水平的發(fā)展趨勢(shì),并從貨幣政策、財(cái)政政策、市場(chǎng)化改革等方面,提出應(yīng)對(duì)物價(jià)上漲和控制通貨膨脹的對(duì)策,包括控制能源、原材料、土地價(jià)格,降低企業(yè)成本,同時(shí),控制貨幣供應(yīng)量,減少企業(yè)稅負(fù),提高企業(yè)經(jīng)營(yíng)利潤(rùn)率,增加企業(yè)利潤(rùn),提高人們的收入水平和實(shí)際生活水平。關(guān)鍵字:CPI;
3、通貨膨脹;多元線性回歸;因素;成木;貨幣供應(yīng)FactorsaffectingChinatorisingprices,trendsandcountermeasuresAbstractAtpresent,commoditypricesinchinacontinuedtorise,pressuresofinflationarycontinuetoincrease,whichhavebecometheprominentcontradictionsthataffecttherunningofthenatio
4、naleconomy.Tostabilizepricesandcontrolinflationhasbecometheprimarytaskofmacroeconomicregulationandcontrol,butalsothemosturgenttask.Thisarticle,regardingCPIastheindex,StudythevariousfactorsaffectingtheCPIfluctuations,includingthegrowthrateofinvestmenti
5、nfixedassets,rawmaterialspriceindex,theaveragewageindex,producerpriceindexofagriculturalproducts,foreignexchangereserves,weusemultiplelinearregressionanalysistostudythemainfactorsoftheCPIfluctuations,accordingtotheChinaStatisticalYearbookdatainthelast
6、decade.ThestudyfoundthatthechangesofCPIismainlyaffectedbytheimpactofpricechangesofagriculturalproductsandrawmaterials,labor,landandothercosts.Thereasonthathousingpricesrosesharplyinrecentyearsisthatcostoflabor,land,energyandrawmaterialsprices,leadingi
7、ncreasedcostofdoingbusiness,whichdrivespricesup.Inaddition,thefood,regardingthepriceofporkasanexample,butalsobydirectimpactofrisingcosts.Finally,Wepredictthefuturelevelofdevelopmentofhousing,foodandothercommoditypriceswiththecurrentdomesticeconomicsit
8、uationaccordingtotheconclusions,andputforwardcountermeasurestocopewithrisingpricesandcontrolinflationfrommonetarypolicy,fiscalpolicy,market?orientedreforms.Includingenergy,rawmaterials,landprices,reducebusinesscosts,atthesametime,weshouldcontr