a note on the power of bootstrap unit root tests

a note on the power of bootstrap unit root tests

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時間:2018-02-10

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1、EconometricTheory,19,2003,32-48.PrintedintheUnitedStatesofAmerica.DOI:10.1017/S0266466603191025ANOTEONTHEPOWEROFBOOTSTRAPUNITROOTTESTSANDERSRYGHSWENSENUniversityofOsloInthisnoteweconsidertheasymptoticpowerfunctionsofsomebootstrapunitroottestsunderlocalalternativesandshowthatthe

2、yareinfactthesameasforordinaryunitroottests.Thisisregardlessofwhetherthedifferencesoftheobser-vations,i.e.,theso-calledrestrictedresiduals,ortheordinaryleastsquaresresid-ualsareusedtoconstructtheresampledobservations.WealsoconsidermodelscontainingaconstantandalineartrendandtheD

3、F-GLStestsproposedbyEl-liott,Rothenberg,andStock(1996,Econometrica64,813-836).AsmallMonteCarloexperimentisincluded.1.INTRODUCTIONTherecentsurveysonbootstrapmethodsintimeseriesbyLiandMaddala(1996)andBerkowitzandKilian(2000)bothcontainspecialsectionsonhowtodealwithnonstationaryda

4、taandadiscussionofbootstrapunitroottests.Bootstrapproceduresofferanopportunitytotakeintoaccountsuchfactorsassamplesize,variousspecificationsoftheinitialcondition,andthedistributionoftheerrors.Theymaythereforehavemoreaccuratefinite-samplepropertiesthanproceduresmakinguseofasympt

5、oticapproximations,wheresuchele-mentstypicallydonotenter.TabulationsbasedonMonteCarlosimulationswillnecessarilyhavetospecifythesefactors,andtheassumptionsmaynotalwaysbewellsuitedinparticularapplications.Thebootstrapprocedurespresentaninterestingpossibilitymakingmoreextensiveuse

6、ofdataandmaythere-forerepresentanalternativeandsupplementtotabulationsandasymptoticapproximations.MoststudiesofbootstrapmethodsforunitroottestshavebeenconcernedwithtypeIerrorsand,inparticular,thequestionofwhetherthesizesofthetestscorrespondtothenominallevels.FerrettiandRomo(199

7、6)consideraunitrootbootstraptestforAR(l)modelsanddemonstratetheasymptoticva-lidityforindependentandautoregressiveerrors.Forageneralizationwheretheorderoftheautoregressiveerrorseriesisallowedtoincrease,seeSwensenIthanktheassociateeditor,BruceE.Hansen,andthreeanonymousrefereesfor

8、veryconstructivecommentsonthepreviousversionsofthemanu

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