國際原油價格波動對我國產(chǎn)業(yè)部門影響的分析

國際原油價格波動對我國產(chǎn)業(yè)部門影響的分析

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時間:2019-01-31

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1、國際原油價格波動對我國產(chǎn)業(yè)部門影響的研究AbstractInrecentyears,thepriceofinternationalcrudeoilfluctuatesseverely.Onlytheyear2008alone,thepriceofcrudeoilrosefrom100dollars/barrelbytheendof2007to150dollars/barrelandfellbackto40dollars/barrelattheendofthesameyear,thisdidsomeinfluenc

2、eontheworld'seconomyandsodidChina'seconomy.Ourcountryisinacrucialperiodofrapiddevelopmentofindustrializationandurbanization,sothedesireforrawmaterialslikecrudeareenormous.Becauseoftheresourceendowmentsandthefastgrowingdemandsforcrude,China'scrudeoilsupplygapi

3、sexpanding,andthephenomenonofrelyingoncrudeimportisincreasingeversinceitbreakthecordonof50%in2009.Thehighrelianceoncrudeimportmeansthehighrelianceontheinternationalcrudemarket,andthiswillleadtohigherinfluencefromtheinternationalcrudemarket.Insuchsituations,th

4、equestionsofhowthepriceofinternationalcrudeoilconductsalongournationaleconomyandwhatkindofeffectofthefluctuationofthecrudepricewouldbringtoournationaleconomyarescientificissuesworthyofattentionandinvestigation.Basedonthebackgroundofthehighrelianceonimportcrud

5、e,thispaperinvestigatestheinfluenceoffluctuationofthepriceoftheinternationalcrudeoilonournationaleconomy.Inthispaper,anon-competitiveinput-outputmethodisusedtoclarifyimportcrudeoilfromdomesticcrudeoilandanalyzestowhatdegreethenationaleconomydepartmentsarerely

6、ingontheimportcrude.Theprimaryenergyproductiondepartmentssuchascoalminingandwashingindustryarenotmuchrelyingonimportcrude;whilesecondaryenergyproductiondepartmentssuchasallkindsofnon-energyextractiveindustry,metalsmelting,metalrollingindustryandthechemicalind

7、ustryshowshighrelianceontheimportcrude,furthermorethisrelianceconductstolightindustryandservicebusinessduetotherelationsofproduction.Meanwhileweanalyzetherelationshipofournation'sindustryusingthenon-competitiveinput-outputmethodaswellasthenon-competitiveinput

8、-outputpricemodeltoexploretheconductionmechanismofinternationalcrudeoilinournation'seconomydepartments,alsowehavedrawnthemainpathwayfigure.Finally,inthispaperwebuildupthe2007nationalmacro

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