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《國(guó)際原油價(jià)格波動(dòng)對(duì)我國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)部門影響的分析》由會(huì)員上傳分享,免費(fèi)在線閱讀,更多相關(guān)內(nèi)容在學(xué)術(shù)論文-天天文庫(kù)。
1、國(guó)際原油價(jià)格波動(dòng)對(duì)我國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)部門影響的研究AbstractInrecentyears,thepriceofinternationalcrudeoilfluctuatesseverely.Onlytheyear2008alone,thepriceofcrudeoilrosefrom100dollars/barrelbytheendof2007to150dollars/barrelandfellbackto40dollars/barrelattheendofthesameyear,thisdidsomeinfluenc
2、eontheworld'seconomyandsodidChina'seconomy.Ourcountryisinacrucialperiodofrapiddevelopmentofindustrializationandurbanization,sothedesireforrawmaterialslikecrudeareenormous.Becauseoftheresourceendowmentsandthefastgrowingdemandsforcrude,China'scrudeoilsupplygapi
3、sexpanding,andthephenomenonofrelyingoncrudeimportisincreasingeversinceitbreakthecordonof50%in2009.Thehighrelianceoncrudeimportmeansthehighrelianceontheinternationalcrudemarket,andthiswillleadtohigherinfluencefromtheinternationalcrudemarket.Insuchsituations,th
4、equestionsofhowthepriceofinternationalcrudeoilconductsalongournationaleconomyandwhatkindofeffectofthefluctuationofthecrudepricewouldbringtoournationaleconomyarescientificissuesworthyofattentionandinvestigation.Basedonthebackgroundofthehighrelianceonimportcrud
5、e,thispaperinvestigatestheinfluenceoffluctuationofthepriceoftheinternationalcrudeoilonournationaleconomy.Inthispaper,anon-competitiveinput-outputmethodisusedtoclarifyimportcrudeoilfromdomesticcrudeoilandanalyzestowhatdegreethenationaleconomydepartmentsarerely
6、ingontheimportcrude.Theprimaryenergyproductiondepartmentssuchascoalminingandwashingindustryarenotmuchrelyingonimportcrude;whilesecondaryenergyproductiondepartmentssuchasallkindsofnon-energyextractiveindustry,metalsmelting,metalrollingindustryandthechemicalind
7、ustryshowshighrelianceontheimportcrude,furthermorethisrelianceconductstolightindustryandservicebusinessduetotherelationsofproduction.Meanwhileweanalyzetherelationshipofournation'sindustryusingthenon-competitiveinput-outputmethodaswellasthenon-competitiveinput
8、-outputpricemodeltoexploretheconductionmechanismofinternationalcrudeoilinournation'seconomydepartments,alsowehavedrawnthemainpathwayfigure.Finally,inthispaperwebuildupthe2007nationalmacro