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《我國(guó)財(cái)政收入與部分支出結(jié)構(gòu)的實(shí)證分析》由會(huì)員上傳分享，免費(fèi)在線閱讀，更多相關(guān)內(nèi)容在學(xué)術(shù)論文-天天文庫(kù)。
1、我國(guó)財(cái)政收入與部分支出結(jié)構(gòu)的實(shí)證分析《計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)》實(shí)例分析報(bào)告國(guó)際商學(xué)院2001級(jí)1班小組成員：肖北莎（40102040）范麗麗（40102006）孫艷超（40102129）趙靜昆（40102013）2003年12月《計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)》課程論文我國(guó)財(cái)政收入與部分支出結(jié)構(gòu)的實(shí)證分析[摘要]本文主要是對(duì)1979到2001年我國(guó)國(guó)家財(cái)政收入的支出在農(nóng)業(yè)，科研，社會(huì)福利，債務(wù)清償?shù)人膫€(gè)方面的情況進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析。首先，我們分別對(duì)財(cái)政支出的四個(gè)方面進(jìn)行理論分析。然后，在收集數(shù)據(jù)的基礎(chǔ)上建立經(jīng)濟(jì)模型，利用EVIEethod:LeastSquaresDate:12/12/03Time:
2、11:01Sample:19782001Includedobservations:15Excludedobservations:9VariableCoefficientStd.Errort-StatisticProb.C116.713165.985321.7687740.1004X0.0742060.0083878.8482430.0000R-squared0.857599Meandependentvar595.7693AdjustedR-squared0.846645S.D.dependentvar373.0475S.E.ofregression146.087
3、6Akaikeinfocriterion12.92986Sumsquaredresid277440.4Sche:20:40Sample:19782001Includedobservations:15Excludedobservations:9VariableCoefficientStd.Errort-StatisticProb.C27.460247.7585663.5393440.0036X0.0424650.00098643.064570.0000R-squared0.993039Meandependentvar301.6073AdjustedR-square
4、d0.992504S.D.dependentvar198.3902S.E.ofregression17.17700Akaikeinfocriterion8.648585Sumsquaredresid3835.641Sche:11:32Sample:19782001Includedobservations:15Excludedobservations:9VariableCoefficientStd.Errort-StatisticProb.C90.4906916.017415.6495200.0001X0.0011740.0003713.1685000.0074R
5、-squared0.435749Meandependentvar109.7380AdjustedR-squared0.392345S.D.dependentvar73.63590S.E.ofregression57.40082Akaikeinfocriterion11.06156Sumsquaredresid42833.10Sche:11:37Sample(adjusted):19802001Includedobservations:14Excludedobservations:8afteradjustingendpointsVariableCoefficien
6、tStd.Errort-StatisticProb.C-119.4150199.1816-0.5995280.5600X0.1615220.0244746.5997810.0000R-squared0.784006Meandependentvar984.7514AdjustedR-squared0.766007S.D.dependentvar836.0580S.E.ofregression404.4252Akaikeinfocriterion14.97437Sumsquaredresid1962717.Sche:20:23Sample:19782001Inclu
7、dedobservations:15Excludedobservations:9VariableCoefficientStd.Errort-StatisticProb.C-1.0993640.456553-2.4079670.0316LX0.8563070.05355715.988610.0000R-squared0.951607Meandependentvar6.167242AdjustedR-squared0.947885S.D.dependentvar0.736045S.E.ofregression0.168030Akaikeinfocriterion-0
8、.605782Sumsq
