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1、西華大學碩士學位論文第1v頁AbstractFinancialcrisisearly-wardingisthecoreofthefinancialpre-waming．Listedcompaniesasatypi∞lmodementerprise，havearelativeeffectivemanagementsystemandmorecompletedfinancialaccountingi面ormatinnexp
2、ore．Thereforeasgoodexumpleoftbefinancialcrisisearlywarnin
3、gmodel，theyaterepresentativeandpractical．Becausecompaniesfacemoreandmoreworldwidecompetitions,someofthemwillfallintocrisisandwillgobankruptevenworse．Financialcrisiswillbadlyaffecteconomyfromvariousaspects．Therefore，effectivelyforecastingfinancialdifficultybeCOIELesthe
4、essentialstepforcommercialbanktomanagecreditriskandalsoforstockinVestorstoreducethebnsine站riskfortheftinvestment．Accordingtocompanies’financialreports，financialratiosormodelsapplied,throughstatisticalmethods，financialcrisisearly-warningsystemanalysescompanies‘a(chǎn)bilityo
5、frepayingdebtsandpayoff,soitpredictsprobabilityofcompanies’financialdefiniLToestablishafinancialcrisisearly-warningsystemisaneffectivewaytopreventandcontrolfinancialfailures．IthadbeenknowninforeignandChinesescholars．Thisdissertationwinmainlyfocusonfailedlistedcompanie
6、sasresearchobjectsandinvestigateatargenumberofrelatedliteratures．BasedOHplentyofliteraturereviewingandconsideringthecharactersofChiilesosecuritymarket,STand‘STaredefined勰failure．^Lftercollectingvariouscase8anddatafromfailedlistedcompanies，theresearchwasconductedOilpre
7、-wamingofthefailmeoflistedcompanies．Ontheanalysis，thisdissertationanatomizesoasesofSTstocks，andanalyzesrea80nsoffailurefromthefollowingthreeaspects：Industryfactor,stockframe,intendaneemechanism,businessdiversificationandinvestment．ThenconsideredbothIe蜘nsandcases．thech
8、aractersoffailureinlistedcompanieswassummarizedasdeteriorationofliquidityandleverage，profitability,activity,growingability,structureandcashflow．Suchresultsareveryhelpfulinchoosingvariables．Basedonthedataacquiredfromlistedcorporations，thisarticleanalyzesfinancialcharac
9、terofdifferenceindustry觚Theresultrevealedthatthefinancialcharacterbetweendifferenceindustriesisdistinct．Sothepre-warningmode
