資源描述:
《近五十年亞洲地面氣溫變化趨勢(shì)與突變的時(shí)空分布-(6194)》由會(huì)員上傳分享,免費(fèi)在線閱讀,更多相關(guān)內(nèi)容在行業(yè)資料-天天文庫(kù)。
1、TheSpatialandTemporalDistributionofAbruptChangeandTrendofSurfaceTemperatureinAsiainNearlyFiveDecadesAbstractBasedontheairtemperaturedatasetsfrom2467observationstationsinChinaandglobalmonthlyairtemperaturefromNationalClimateDataCenter(NCDC),thedatasetsinAsiaareinterpolat
2、edandrizedbyinversedistanceweightingmethod.Thesensitivityexperimentofobservationdensityisconductedontotemperatureabruptchange.Theresultsshowthatatleast33observationstationsareneededfortheanalysisrequestforChina.Therefore,only132stationsarerequiredfortheanalysisofthetemp
3、eratureabruptchangeforAsia.AcrosscheckisimposedontotheinterpolateddatainAsia.Therearesmalldeviationsbetweentheestimatedvalueandrealvalue,whichindicatestheestimatedvaluecanbeappliedtotheanalysisofairtemperaturetrendandabruptchangeinAsia.Usingtherasterizeddataandreanalysi
4、sdatafromNationalCentersforEnvironmentalPrediction-NationalCenterforAtmosphericResearch(NCEP/NCAR),theabruptchangeoftemperatureduring1961-2011overChinaandEastAsiawasanalyzedbyshowingitsspatialandtemporaldistribution.Finally,thepossiblefactorsresponsiblefortheabruptchang
5、eregimeoftemperatureoverEastAsiawerediscussed.Themainconclusionsarelistedfollowing:(1)TheabruptchangemodeoftheannualmeantemperatureoverChinaiswellcorrelatedwiththelatitude.Theabruptwarminghappenedearlierbothpolewardandequatorwardof35°N.Meanwhile,theabruptchangeadvancedf
6、romcoasttoinland.Thespatialandtemporaldistributionoftheabruptchangeofthemaximumtemperaturewassimilartothatofthemeantemperature,whiletheabruptchangeoftheminimumtemperaturewasahead.TheabruptchangeofthetemperaturechangeoverTibetanPlateauwasalwayslaterthanthatofmostpartsofC
7、hina.(2)TheabruptchangemodeoftheseasonalmeantemperatureoverChinashowsobviousseasonaldiversity.Differencesaremostevidentbetweenwinterandsummer.Inwinter,theairtemperatureadvancesfromnorthtosouth.Theregionaloflatestabruptchangetakesplaceintheeastoftheplateau,andthetimefora
8、bruptchangeadvancesfromcoasttoinland.Incontrast,forsummerChinaisdividedintosoutheastpartandnorthwestpartduetot