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1、本科畢業(yè)論文外文翻譯外文題目:ExportStructureandgrowth——ADetailedAnalysisforArgentina出處:WorldBankPolicyResearchworkingpaper4237,May2007作者:Guerson,Alejandro,Park,James,Torrado,MonicaParra原文:ExportStructureandGrowthADetailedAnalysisforArgentina*IntroductionandSummaryofConclusionsInrecentyears,theperformanceofArgen
2、tineexportshasbeenparticularlystrong.Argentinahasbenefitedfrompositivetermsoftradeshocksinsomesectorsbuthigherexportvolumeshavebeenthemostimportantsourceofexportgrowth.In2005,merchandiseexportsreachedaboutUS$40billion,whichismorethan50percentabovethepeakpriorto2002.Thistrendcontinuedin2006:asofSep
3、temberexportsofgoodshadgrownby12.3percent.Theimprovementinexportperformancewasaccompaniedbyadrasticchangeinrelativepricesfollowinguponthecurrencydevaluationin2002whichhassignificantlyimprovedthecompetitivenessofArgentineexportsoverall.Aggregateexportstatisticsshowthatthemomentumofexportperformance
4、hasbeensustainedbymanufacturedgoodswhichledexportsgrowthin2006.Lookingbeyondaggregatetrends,thispaperexamineschangesinthestructureofArgentineexports,andtheirpotentialimpactonfuturegrowth.Tothatend,weapplytheconceptualframeworkdevelopedinHausmannandRodrik(2003)andHausmann,HwangandRodrik(2006)(HHR).
5、Theydefinethe“productivityfrontier”ofacountryastheoptimalcompositeofexportsthatwouldmaximizeprospectivefuturegrowth.Countriesthatfallshortoftheproductivityfrontierhavetwobasicchannelsthroughwhichtheycangrow.First,countriescangrowbyproducingmoreofthesamegoodstheyhavealreadybeenproducing.Second,andm
6、oreinterestingly,countriescanimprovetheirgrowthprospectsbydevelopingnewproductsthatshiftthemclosertotheirproductivityfrontier.TheanalysisofHHRrevealsthat,ifnewproductshaveahighproductivity(i.e.theytendtobeproducedbycountrieswithhigherlevelsofincomepercapita)thentheGDPofthecountryproducingandexport
7、ingthenewproducteventuallyconvergestothatofthehighincomecountries.EconometricanalysispresentedinthispaperandinHHRshowthatproductivityofexportsisastatisticallysignificantexplanatoryvariableofGDPpercapitagrowth,aft