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1、學(xué)校代碼:10385分類號:研究生學(xué)號:1200206018密級:環(huán)境規(guī)制對我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷的影響研究AStudyonimpactofEnvironmentalRegulationonIndustrialStructureChangeinChina作者姓名:曹勤指導(dǎo)教師:程細(xì)玉教授學(xué)科:應(yīng)用經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)·產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)研究方向:產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)所在學(xué)院:經(jīng)濟(jì)與金融學(xué)院論文提交日期:二零一五年六月五日摘要摘要隨著環(huán)境的變化和資源的逐漸衰竭,我國為協(xié)調(diào)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展與環(huán)境保護(hù)間的矛盾,制定并實(shí)施了數(shù)量眾多的環(huán)境規(guī)制。與此同時,我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)也經(jīng)歷了較大變化。那么,環(huán)境規(guī)制對
2、我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷是否產(chǎn)生影響?若有影響,其傳導(dǎo)路徑是什么,不同類型環(huán)境規(guī)制對我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷的影響又是否存在差異呢?本文首先在前人研究的基礎(chǔ)上,總結(jié)出環(huán)境規(guī)制主要是基于需求、技術(shù)創(chuàng)新和國際貿(mào)易影響著產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷。然后,分析我國環(huán)境規(guī)制和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷狀況,發(fā)現(xiàn)環(huán)境規(guī)制的實(shí)施已取得一定的效果,但環(huán)境問題依舊嚴(yán)峻,各地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)大多不合理。緊接著,選取2003-2012各省年度數(shù)據(jù),運(yùn)用靜態(tài)面板模型,實(shí)證探討不同類型的環(huán)境規(guī)制分別對我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理化和高級化的影響,并比較東中西部地區(qū)估計(jì)結(jié)果。結(jié)果表明:費(fèi)用型環(huán)境規(guī)制促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的高級化,對合理化發(fā)展存
3、在一定的阻礙作用,但未通過顯著性檢驗(yàn);投資型環(huán)境規(guī)制強(qiáng)度與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理化和高級化水平均呈倒“U”型關(guān)系,即投資型環(huán)境規(guī)制在一定范圍內(nèi)有利于產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級,規(guī)制強(qiáng)度過高反而會產(chǎn)生一定的抑制作用。此外,東中西部地區(qū)估計(jì)結(jié)果存在較大差異。最后,依據(jù)研究結(jié)論提出相關(guān)建議,并指明進(jìn)一步研究方向。關(guān)鍵詞:環(huán)境規(guī)制產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷傳導(dǎo)路徑靜態(tài)面板模型IAbstractAbstractWithenvironmentaldegradationandthegradualexhaustionofresources,ourcountryisdevelopingandimp
4、lementingmanydifferentstylesofenvironmentalregulationtocoordinatethecontradictionsbetweeneconomicgrowthandenvironmentalprotection.Atthesametime,China'sindustrialstructurehasundergonemajorchanges.Dotheseenvironmentalregulationshaveanyeffectsonthechangesofindustrialstructure?If
5、theydo,whataretransmissionpaths,andarethereanydifferencesbetweendifferentstylesofenvironmentalregulationontheindustrialstructurechangeinchina?Onthebasisofpreviousstudies,firstofall,thispapersummarizesthatduetothemarketdemand,technologyinnovationandinternationaltrade,environme
6、ntalregulationhasprovenimpactsonindustrialstructurechange.Then,weanalyzetheimplementationoftheenvironmentalregulationandthesituationofindustrialstructurechange.Itisshownthatenvironmentalregulationhadexertedasignificantpositiveeffect,buttheenvironmentproblemisstillserious,andi
7、ndustrialstructureisnotreasonableinmostregions.Andthen,weselecteddatainthirtyprovincesfrom2003to2012,usingstaticpanelmodeltoempiricallytesttheeffectsonindustrialstructurerationalizationandindustrialstructureoptimizationmadeseparatelybydifferentstylesofenvironmentalregulation,
8、andcomparesthedifferencesoftheeffectamongthreemainareasinChina,eastc