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1、西南交通大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文消費(fèi)信貸發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系實(shí)證研究姓名:王瑾申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別:碩士專業(yè):技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)及管理指導(dǎo)教師:史本山20070601西南交通大學(xué)碩士研究生學(xué)位論文第1I頁(yè)AbstractConsumercreditisapowerfulimplementwhichwillactivateconsumptionandpromotetheeconomicgrowth.Since1998theyearwhenPBCpromulgated‘'TheManagementofPersonalTenementCredit'’corl$umerere
2、dithasdevelopedalotinChina.Tilltheendof2006,thetotalbalanceofconsunlercredithascomeupto2404.6billionyuatl,amongwhichthebalanceofpersonaltenement’scredit.1985.7billionyuan,accountsfor82.6%.Thedevelopmentofconsllmercreditcallraisetheresourceofeconomicactivityandimprovetheciv
3、ileconomY;Callrealizethedemandofthelowerearningsahead,enhancetheirstandardofliving。cultivatecivilconceptionofcredit,improvethedevelopmentoffinance,andaggrandizethelxansferfunctionoffinanceinthesocialresourc圮collocationaswell.After10years,couldconsumercreditrealizeitsorig【n
4、alintention?Coulditimproveeconomy.Howpowerfulisittopromotethegrowthofeconomy?What’StherelationshipbetweenthepromotionofconsumercreditandthegrowthofeconomyinourcountrftBasingonbasictheory,thisthesisfirstanalyzestherelationshipbetweenconsumptionandeconomicgrowth,expatiatesre
5、spectivelyonMarxianconsumetheory,KeynesianismandMarshallTheoryofConsumerandeducestheeconomicsignificanceofdevelopingennsumercredit.Then,thisthesisanalyzesthebirthandtheeffectofennsumercreditfromtheaspectofdemandandsupplyThisthesisalsosummarizesthesituationofconsumerercdita
6、nditsshortageinourcountryatpresent.TheanalysisshowsanunreasonableeconomicgrowingstructureinOill"countrywhichisgettingworse.Inrecentyears,consumercreditdevelopsfast,butitstillCan’tcatchupthespeedofeconomicdevelopment.Consumercredittakesquiteasmallproportioninthewholecivilec
7、onomy,and西南交通大學(xué)碩士研究生學(xué)位論文第Ⅲ頁(yè)itsscaledoem’tmatchthescaleofthewholecivileconomy.Finally,齟econometricanalyzingmodelVARisimported.BasedOnthefinancialstatisticaldatafi'om2000to2006,takingGDP,thebalanceofconsumercredit.thegovemableincomeintownsandcitiesandthetotalsaleofrealestate
8、aSvariables.觚eTrorcorrectionmodeliSestablishedbasedonVARsystem.Wecontinuetoanalyzetherela