Wayne A. Thorp - Technical Analysis

Wayne A. Thorp - Technical Analysis

ID:39224891

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時間:2019-06-28

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1、TECHNICALANALYSISID’INGWHENTOBUYANDSELLUSINGTHESTOCHASTICOSCILLATORByWayneA.ThorpStochasticsworkbestThereisnosuchthingasauniversalindicator.Rather,differentconditionsdictatetheuseofdifferentindicators.withthosesecuritiesOscillators,whichareindicatorsthatmovebetweenzeroand100,ar

2、ethatarecurrentlyusefulinidentifyingconditionswhereasecuritymaybeoverextended—tradingwithinaoverboughtoroversold.IntheMayissueoftheAAIIJournal,wetookaparticularrangeandlookatonepopularoscillator,Wilder’srelativestrengthindex.Thisarticlemayproveusefulinfocusesonanotherpopularind

3、icator,thestochasticoscillator.identifyingbuyingTHECALCULATIONandsellingpoints.ButtheycanreturnThewordstochasticisdefinedingeneralasaprocessinvolvingarandomfalsesignals,variable.ThestochasticoscillatorwasfirstintroducedbyGeorgeLaneintheespeciallyduring1970s.Thisindicatorconsist

4、softwolines—the%Kand%Dlines—andcomparesthemostrecentclosingpriceofasecuritytothepricerangeinperiodswhenstockswhichittradedoveraspecifiedtimeperiod.areinastrongThefollowingformulashowsyouhowtocalculatethelatestpointontheuptrendor%Kline:downtrend.%K=[(Close–Lo)÷(Hi–Lo)]×100Where:

5、Close=LastclosingpriceHi=HighestintradaypriceoverthedesignatedperiodLo=LowestintradaypriceoverthedesignatedperiodTherefore,ifyouwerecalculatingafive-day%Kline,thefirstpointwouldbecalculatedusingthehighestpriceoverthelastfivetradingdaysandthelowestpriceoverthelastfivetradingdays

6、aswellastheclosingpricefordayfive(thelastdayofthefive-dayperiod).The%Dlinetypicallyisathree-pointmovingaverageofthe%Kline,andservesasa“trigger”lineforgeneratingtradingsignals.Inotherwords,youaddtogetherthelastthree%Kvalues,dividethissumbythree,andcontinuethisoverarollingthree-d

7、ayperiod.Youcanuseanytypeofmovingaverageyouwishwhencalculatingthe%Dline,includingsimple,weighted,orexponentialmovingaverages.[Formoreonhowtousemovingaverages,see“AnIntrotoMovingAverages:PopularTechnicalIndicators,”byWayneA.ThorpintheAugust1999AAIIJournal.]Likevirtuallyalltechni

8、calindicators,youcancalculatestochasticsoveranytimeper

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