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1、《應用回歸分析》課程設計報告班級100802班姓名學號201028102012年12月下表為1997年一2006年國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值與能源生產(chǎn)總量、農(nóng)林牧漁業(yè)總產(chǎn)值、原煤產(chǎn)量、國內(nèi)旅游人數(shù)、貨物進岀口總額的數(shù)據(jù)。〈數(shù)據(jù)來自CNKI數(shù)字搜索〉表一年份國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)能源生產(chǎn)農(nóng)林牧漁業(yè)原煤國內(nèi)旅游貨物進岀口總值總量總產(chǎn)值產(chǎn)量人數(shù)總額yxlx2x3x4x5199778060.83499613241023788.413.7364426967.2199883024.27976912425024541.8612.569526849.
2、7199988479.154125934.724519.0612.871929896.2751898000.454128977.82000308824915.812.9974439273.22001108068.22137445.426179.613.8178442183.605642002119095.68143809.827390.7535887851378.29273914.552003135173.97163841.517.2287070483.5615329691.82004159586.7418
3、7341.136238.9897619.92110295539.1792522005184739.0720587639450.8873422.051212116921.827212006211808.0422105642424.3810523.731394140971.44687158首先寫岀數(shù)據(jù)做多元冋歸模型的一般形式，程序如下datatotal;inputyxlx2x3x4x5@@;cards;78060.83499613241023788.413.7364426967.283024.279769124
4、25024541.8612.569526849.788479.154751125934.7824519.0612.871929896.298000.454308128977.8824915.812.9974439273.2108068.22056137445.4426179.613.8178442183.6119095.68927143809.8327390.75358914.5587851378.2135173.97615163841.5329691.817.2287070483.5159586.7479
5、2187341.1536238.98976219.92110295539.1184739.0727220587639450.88734122.051212116921.8211808.048722105642424.38105123.731394140971.44658run;procprint;run;procregall;modely=xlx2x3x4x5;run;運行結(jié)果可得相關(guān)系數(shù)矩陣如下圖：圖一x4x5yCorrelationx2x3Variablexl1nV7—ofunuA7L<4—J4nunV
6、AuAbAvVOuOu■11■awQucuooov「115ouOu4Aun7—ooQuA▼n▼4A—'VQuQuC.V>Tlrcft/7fQuQuOuOuQunVnVJ41—nunoAunVJnH.7—AHUnuQuAUJAMUoo1—ft/*OurDXXXXXy可大致看出，變量之間存在相關(guān)性。圖二ParameterEstimatesVariableInterceptxlx2x3x4x5DFI1111IParameterEstimate4596.525483」9057-1.39694?250942.0517
7、81.10090433440.111.223092.611.85323-0.759258.93035-2.7146.5321?0.040.341373.22StandardErrortValue7—rhvQurnvAMU-1—nuOuO-JcoAD9LrDQuRuAKUAdOunu4nVQunVnuAunuAuAunVH->TypeISS1.602848E1118188550510946936123142952943217090570965844sT1I6ypOuAhv9Urhv7—4.oocvRuA/-A
8、D47—AuDoA/-OuAboo7(otOuRv7—Ou7—A7U1—fi,4.oo1—AMUStandardizedEstincite02.49401-0.21125-2.288260.011230.98273SquaredSemi-partialCorrTypeI0.971200.005060.016780.001720.00379SquaredPartialCorrTypeI0.971200.175550
