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1、本科畢業(yè)論文外文翻譯外文題目:TheeconomicimpactsofrestrictingUKarmsexports出處:InternationalJournalofSocialEconcmicsVol26Num6Year1999作者:StephenMartin,KeithHartley,BernardStafford原文:TheeconomicimpactsofrestrictingUKarmsexportsTheAuthorsStephenMartin,CentreforDefenceEconomics,DepartmentofEconomicsandRelatedStudies
2、,UniversityofYork,Heslington,York,UKKeithHartley,CentreforDefenceEconomics,DepartmentofEconomicsandRelatedStudies,UniversityofYork,Heslington,York,UKBernardStafford,CentreforDefenceEconomics,DepartmentofEconomicsandRelatedStudies,UniversityofYork,Heslington,York,UKAcknowledgementsThispaperresult
3、sfromaresearchprojectfundedbytheLeverhulmeTrust(F/224/Y).TheauthorswouldliketothankPieerWezemanofSIPRIforsupplyingsomeofthedataonUKdefenceexports.AbstractAlthoughtheColdWarisover,thedangersofinternationalarmedconflictremain.Multinationaltalksaboutrestrictingthearmstradestalledin1992.Iftheyresume
4、,whatshouldtheBritishattitudebetowardsparticipationinamultilateralagreementtolimitarmsexportswhensuchexportsapparentlymakeasignificantcontributiontotheUKeconomy?Sensiblepublicdebatesandchoicesneedinformationonthelikelyeconomicimpactsofalternativescenarios.Thispaperexaminesthelikelyeffectsofaone-
5、thirdreductioninthevalueofUKarmsexports.Itfindsthatbetween13,333and40,000jobswouldbelostandthatofthosethatremaininthelabourforceoverhalfwillfindnewworkwithinayear.TheSouth-Westwouldbetheworstaffectedregionlosing0.3percentofalljobs;defencesaleswouldbecutbybetween3and8percent;aerospaceoutputwouldb
6、ecutbybetween5and9percent,andtotalexportswouldfallby0.5percent.Therewouldbeinitialadverseeffectsbut,overtime,resourceswouldbere-allocatedtootherindustriesandregions.I.IntroductionArmsexportsareanemotionaltopic.FortheUK,armsexportsareasignificantpartofdefenceindustrysales;theyprovidejobs,someofwh
7、ichareinhighunemploymentregions;andsometownsaredependentontheemploymentgeneratedbythesesales.DefenceexportsarealsoamajorcontributortotheUK’sforeigncurrencyearningsandsupporttheUK’sdefenceindustrialbase.However,criticspointto