服務貿(mào)易與貨物貿(mào)易的差異和互補【外文翻譯】

服務貿(mào)易與貨物貿(mào)易的差異和互補【外文翻譯】

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1、外文翻譯原文TradeinServicesandTradeinGoods:DifferencesandComplementaritiesMaterialSource:April2009,TheViennaInstituteforInternationalEconomicStudiesAuthor:CarolinaLennonAbstractDespitetheincreasingimportanceofservicesinnationaleconomies(accountingforabout50-70%ofinternalp

2、roduct),inglobaleconomy(accountingforthe20%ofglobaltrade)andinpublicopinion(i.e.USConcernaboutMexicanworkersduetomigrationlawsorthecaseofthe“polishplumbers”inFranceatthetimeofEuropeanConstitutionreferendum)thereisnoeconomicconsensusaboutthewayinwhatservicesshouldbec

3、onsideredintradeliberalizationanalyses.Thedoublepurposeofthispaperis;first,toempiricallydeterminetowhatextenttradeinservicesdiffersfromtradeingoodsand,second,toexploreforpotentialcomplementaritiesbetweenbilateraltradeingoodsandbilateraltradeinservices.Forourfirstgoa

4、lweregressasetofequationsderivedfromthegravitationalmodelandforthesecondweinstrumentbilateraltradeforbothservicesandgoodsinordertoanalysespotentialcausalitiesofeachtypeofflowintheother.Mainresultsshowthat“bilateraltrustandcontractenforcementenvironment”,“networks”,“

5、labormarkets”and“technologyandtechnologyofcommunication”havehigherimpactonservicetradethanontradeingoods;finally,afterincrementingforendogenously,wefoundthatbilateraltradeingoodsexplainsbilateraltradeinservices:theresultingestimatedelasticityiscloseto1.Reciprocally,

6、thoughinalowerextent,bilateraltradeinservicesaffectspositivelybilateraltradeingoods:a10%increaseintradeinservicesraisestradedgoodsby4.6%.1IntroductionTheservicessectoristhebiggestcontributortoacountry’seconomy,itscontributionincreaseswiththelevelofdevelopmentofcount

7、ries,rangingfrom47percentofcountries’GDPinthecaseoflowincomecountriestoacontributionof70percentinthecaseofhighincomecountries.Inaddition,measuredbythebalanceofpayments(BOP),overthepasttwodecades,growthoftradeinserviceshassurpassedgrowthoftradeingoods.Tradeingoodshas

8、multipliedby3,5whileTotalserviceshasmultipliedbyaround5.Thegrowingimportanceofservicesindomesticeconomiesandinternationaltradeislargelydue

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