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1、目錄第一章緒論.........................................................11.1研究背景及意義.............................................................................................11.2國內(nèi)外研究現(xiàn)狀..........................................................................
2、...................21.3本文的主要研究內(nèi)容.....................................................................................5第二章水庫長短期徑流預報和需水預報.................................72.1歷史水文數(shù)據(jù)分析.........................................................................
3、................72.2基于時間序列分析方法的長期徑流預報.....................................................82.2.1年徑流模型的類型選擇和形式識別..........................................82.2.2自回歸滑動平均模型形式的確定............................................102.2.3月徑流分配模型......................
4、..................................................112.3基于新安江模型的短期降雨徑流預報.......................................................122.3.1新安江模型基本原理................................................................122.3.2新安江模型參數(shù)的率定和優(yōu)選...........................
5、.....................162.4基于遺傳算法-BP神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡混合模型的徑流預報...................................172.4.1BP神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡基本原理...............................................................172.4.2BP神經(jīng)神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡連接權(quán)重的優(yōu)化...........................................182.4.3基于遺傳算法-BP神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡混合模型的
6、徑流預報................192.5需水預報.......................................................................................................202.6本章小結(jié).......................................................................................................22第三章考慮生態(tài)
7、調(diào)度的水庫優(yōu)化調(diào)度..................................233.1生態(tài)調(diào)度.......................................................................................................233.1.1水質(zhì)目標....................................................................................233
8、.1.2生態(tài)基流....................................................................................243.2水庫優(yōu)化調(diào)度模型.......................................................................................253.3優(yōu)化調(diào)度模型的解算方法.....................
