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1、32、RectangleBottomsRESULTSSNAPSHOTUpsideBreakoutsAppearancePricestrenddowntotheformationthenoscillatebetweentwohorizontaltrendlinesbeforebreakingoutupward.ReversalOrConsolidationLong-term(over6months)bullishreversalFailureRate0%AverageRise46%,withthemost
2、likelyriseabout20%PrematureBreakouts12%VolumeTrendUpwardThrowbacks61%Percentagemeetingpredictedpricetarget93%SurprisingFindingsActualbreakoutisoppositethatshownbyprematurebreakouts75%oftimeSeealsoRectangleTopsUpsideBreakoutsAppearancePricestrenddowntothe
3、formationthenoscillatebetweentwohorizontaltrendlinesbeforebreakingoutdownward.ReversalOrConsolidationShort-term(upto3months)bearishconsolidationFailureRate4%AverageDecline19%,withmostlikelydeclinebetween10%and15%PrematureBreakouts17%VolumeTrendDownwardPu
4、llbacks70%Percentagemeetingpredictedpricetarget65%SurprisingFindingsActualbreakoutisoppositethatshownbyprematurebreakouts75%oftime.SeealsoRectangleTopsLikeotherformationswithoutaclassicdefinitionofatoporbottom,Idecidedtogiverectanglesadefinitionbyseparat
5、ingthembasedonthepricetrendapproachingthechartpattern.Ifthetrendisdownward,thentheformationisabottom.Ifthetrendisup,thentheformationclassifiesasatop.Thedistinctionisperhapsarbitrary,butitdoeshelpwithsearchingforreasonstoagivenbreakoutdirection.矩形頂和矩形底的區(qū)別
6、在于之前的價格趨勢。上漲趨勢之后的矩形稱為矩形頂，下跌之后矩形稱為矩形底。Thischapterconcernsitselfwithrectanglebottoms.Bottomshavetwobreakoutdirections:upanddown(nosurprise,right?).TheResultsSnapshotliststhemoreimportantstatistics.Thefailurerateforrectangleswithupsidebreakoutsis0%.Donotget
7、tooexcitedasthesamplesizeissmall(41formations).Idonotbelievethatupsidebreakoutsneverfail.Theydo,itjustdidnothappenonmyshift.Onethingisclear,though:Theyarereliable.Theaverageriseis46%,abovetheusual40%gainforbullishformations.Themostlikelyriseat20%isaboutw
8、hatyouwouldexpect.Withsuchalargegain,itisnosurprisethattheformationmeetsitspricetarget93%ofthetime.Iconsideranythingabove80%tobereliable.底部形態(tài)有兩個突破方向，向上和向下。矩形底向上突破的失敗率是0，不要太激動，我的樣本空間太小，只有41一個樣本，不過至少說明矩形底的向上突破是很可靠的。并且向上突破的漲幅
