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1、14、FlagsandPennantsRESULTSSNAPSHOTFlagsAppearanceAshortslopingrectangleboundedbytwoparalleltrendlinesReversalOrConsolidationShort-term(upto3months)consolidationFailureRateinUptrend13%FailureRateinDonwtrend12%AverageRiseinUptrend19%,withmostlikelyrisebeing20%AverageDeclineinDowntrend1
2、7%,withmostlikelydeclinebeing15%VolumeTrenddownwardPullbacks20%Throwbacks10%Percentagemeetingpredictedpricetargetinuptrend63%Percentagemeetingpredictedpricetargetindowntrend61%SeealsoRectangleBottoms;RectangleTopsPennantsAppearanceAshortslopingtriangleboundedbytwoconvergingtrendlines
3、ReversalOrConsolidationShort-term(upto3months)consolidationFailureRateinUptrend19%FailureRateinDonwtrend34%AverageRiseinUptrend21%,withmostlikelyrisebetween15%and20%AverageDeclineinDowntrend17%,withmostlikelydeclinebeing25%VolumeTrenddownwardPullbacks17%Throwbacks16%Percentagemeeting
4、predictedpricetargetinuptrend58%Percentagemeetingpredictedpricetargetindowntrend52%SeealsoTriangles,SymmetricalBottoms;Triangles,SymmetricalTops;Wedges,Falling;Wedges,RisingFlagsandpennantslookalikeandinmanywaystheirperformanceissimilar,too.Theformationsareusuallyveryshortinduration,
5、fromafewdaysto3weeks,andmarkthehalfwaypointinaquickpricemove.Theseformationscanbeprofitableshort-terminvestments,butyoumustbenimbleandattentivetotakefulladvantageofthem.Pennants,withafailurerateof34%indowntrends,areabovethe20%rateIconsideracceptable.Flagsat12%to13%andpennantsinauptre
6、nd(19%)performbetter.旗形和三角旗形外觀(guān)類(lèi)似，性能也類(lèi)似。它們周期相當(dāng)短，1天到三周，是快速價(jià)格運(yùn)動(dòng)的中繼。短期操作可以獲利，但是三角旗形在下跌趨勢(shì)中失敗率相當(dāng)高，34%。Thepercentageofformationsthatmeetorexceedtheirpredictedpricetargetsisdisappointingforbothflagsandpennants.Iviewvaluesabove80%tobereliable,buttheresultsshowvaluesthatrangefrom52%to63%,sugge
7、stingthatyoushouldtradetheseformationswithcautionasyourprofitsmaynotbeaslargeasyouexpect.目標(biāo)價(jià)格達(dá)成率非常讓人失望，所以不可奢望太高收益。Themostlikelyriseordeclineisdeceptivefortheseformations.Whenthelikelyriseordeclinevalueisabovetheaverage,itsimplymeansthatafrequencydistributionshowsmorehitsataparticular
8、value,butthe
