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《環(huán)境規(guī)制對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的影響研究——基于進(jìn)入壁壘視角》由會(huì)員上傳分享,免費(fèi)在線閱讀,更多相關(guān)內(nèi)容在學(xué)術(shù)論文-天天文庫(kù)。
1、學(xué)校代碼:10385分類號(hào):研究生學(xué)號(hào):1200206028密級(jí):環(huán)境規(guī)制對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的影響研究——基于進(jìn)入壁壘視角TheImpactofEnvironmentRegulationonUpgradingIndustrialStructure——BasedOnthePerspectiveofEntryBarrier作者姓名:陳國(guó)發(fā)指導(dǎo)教師:陳燕武教授合作教師:學(xué)科:應(yīng)用經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)·數(shù)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)研究方向:經(jīng)濟(jì)計(jì)量模型及其應(yīng)用所在學(xué)院:經(jīng)濟(jì)與金融學(xué)院論文提交日期:二零一五年六月一日摘要經(jīng)濟(jì)新常態(tài)下,經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的資源環(huán)境約束力在不斷增強(qiáng),經(jīng)濟(jì)
2、可持續(xù)發(fā)展問題對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)質(zhì)量、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)、環(huán)境保護(hù)等提出了很高的要求。保持經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展與環(huán)境保護(hù)相平衡,關(guān)鍵在于轉(zhuǎn)方式、調(diào)結(jié)構(gòu)。環(huán)境規(guī)制政策作為政府宏觀調(diào)控措施,能夠影響微觀主體的投資生產(chǎn)行為,從而促進(jìn)資源在產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)間流動(dòng)。環(huán)境規(guī)制主要通過改變企業(yè)生產(chǎn)成本,使得受規(guī)制產(chǎn)業(yè)形成進(jìn)入壁壘,抑制受規(guī)制產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展刺激新興產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展政策,從而影響產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)。本文以2004-2012年我國(guó)30個(gè)省份的面板數(shù)據(jù)作為研究對(duì)象,運(yùn)用靜態(tài)面板模型和面板向量自回歸模型等方法實(shí)證研究了環(huán)境規(guī)制是否會(huì)通過進(jìn)入壁壘影響產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí),實(shí)證研究得出以下結(jié)論:首先,
3、在環(huán)境規(guī)制強(qiáng)度處于低水平階段,環(huán)境規(guī)制與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)有正相關(guān)關(guān)系,即環(huán)境規(guī)制強(qiáng)度愈高,受規(guī)制產(chǎn)業(yè)的就業(yè)人員反而不斷增加、產(chǎn)業(yè)規(guī)模得到進(jìn)一步發(fā)展。環(huán)境規(guī)制的進(jìn)入壁壘效應(yīng)是負(fù)向的,環(huán)境規(guī)制強(qiáng)度提高不能抑制受規(guī)制產(chǎn)業(yè),第二產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)規(guī)模進(jìn)一步擴(kuò)大。在環(huán)境規(guī)制強(qiáng)度處于高水平階段,環(huán)境規(guī)制與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)之間具有負(fù)相關(guān)關(guān)系,環(huán)境規(guī)制強(qiáng)度與企業(yè)進(jìn)入呈負(fù)相關(guān)關(guān)系,并且進(jìn)入壁壘的中介效應(yīng)顯著,表明環(huán)境規(guī)制可以通過抑制受規(guī)制企業(yè)進(jìn)入、引導(dǎo)新興企業(yè)進(jìn)入來促使產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)。其次,PVAR模型的動(dòng)態(tài)研究表明環(huán)境規(guī)制對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的沖擊是負(fù)向的,環(huán)境規(guī)制
4、對(duì)進(jìn)入壁壘的沖擊是正向的,進(jìn)入壁壘對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的沖擊是負(fù)向的,并且動(dòng)態(tài)沖擊影響力在當(dāng)期達(dá)到最大,隨后逐期降低。環(huán)境規(guī)制對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的解釋能力很強(qiáng),但進(jìn)入壁壘只能部分解釋產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)。最后,根據(jù)實(shí)證部分的研究結(jié)論,建議實(shí)施更加嚴(yán)格的產(chǎn)業(yè)政策,出臺(tái)更加嚴(yán)厲的準(zhǔn)入標(biāo)準(zhǔn),運(yùn)用稅收和補(bǔ)貼等政策杠桿引導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)。關(guān)鍵詞:環(huán)境規(guī)制進(jìn)入壁壘產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)面板數(shù)據(jù)模型AbstractAbstractUnderthenewnormaleconomy,theconstraintofresourcesandtheenvironmentfore
5、conomicdevelopmentisstrengthening,sustainableeconomicdevelopmentrequiresgreatertoadvancequalityofeconomicgrowth,industrialstructureupgrading,andenvironmentalprotection.Thekeytomaintainabalancebetweeneconomicdevelopmentandenvironmentalprotectionliesintransformationofe
6、conomicdevelopmentandadjustmentofindustrialstructure.Environmentalregulationpolicies,whichasthegovernment’smacroscopicaladjustingcontrol,couldaffectthemarketplayers’microscopicbehaviorofinvestmentandpromoteresourceflowamongindustries.Environmentalregulation,mainlythr
7、oughchangesinproductioncosts,makingtheregulatedindustryentrybarriers,inhibitingtheregulatedindustrydevelopmentpolicytostimulatethedevelopmentofnewindustries,thusaffectingtheupgradingofindustrialstructure.Inthispaper,thepaneldataofChinese30provincesfrom2004-2012hasbee
8、nusedforstudy,andthestaticpanelmodelandpanelvectorautoregressionmodelhavebeenappliedtostudyifenvironmentalregulationcouldaffecttheu