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1、中南大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文我國適度國債規(guī)模研究姓名：張金興申請學(xué)位級別：碩士專業(yè)：金融學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師：陳建中20061125碩士學(xué)位論文ABSTRACTThenationaldebtisadouble—edgedsword，releasingnationaldebtcanhavethepositivefrontagefunctiontotheeconomicalmovement，atthesanletime，releasingnationaldebtalsoinevitableexistsnegativeinfluenc
2、e，andifthenumberofreleasingthenationaldebtistooexcessively,itevenpossiblycausesthedebtcrisis．Therefore，researchmoderatenationaldebtscalehasthemoreimportantnecessity．TheSO—calledmoderatenationaldebtisonecertainnationaldebtscalethatrealizesourcountryGDPsomeati
3、otocontinuestablytogrow,simultaneouslynegativeaffectsisn’tserious．Underthisdestination，researchingmoderatenationaldebtscale，itshouldobtainsfromresearchingrelationsofnationaldebtscaleandtheGDEThewriterusestheempiricaldatafrom1998to2004，Withtheapplicationofsta
4、tisticalpicturemethod，thecorrelationcoefficientmethodandEviewsoftware．findstllatthereisacorrelationbetweenGDPandnationaldebtscaleandhighlyrelevant．Throughthegrayrelationanalysisofthefactorsaffecttingnationaldebtscale．thegraycorrelationofGDPisthebiggest，SOGDP
5、istheclosestrelatedfactorstonationaldebtscale．ThearticleusesGranger-Simms—causalitytest,provesthatGDPistheGrangercauseofnationaldebtscale．Basedontheseconcusionandthestockofcapitaladjustmenttheory,theauthorsdrawfromDr．Yangyiqunoflong—termnationaldebtforeconom
6、iceffectsfromXi’anJiaotongUniversity,Il碩七學(xué)位論文ABSTRACTUsingthepoleplacementmethodofthetheoryofeconomiccontrol，separatesintotwostrategies：feedbackandnofeedback，designourappropriatemoderatenationaldebtscale，itisasector．Usingthesectortocalculateournationaldebtsc
7、aleinrecentyears．comparedwimtheactualnationaldebtscale，proposesthatOurnationaldebtscaleissmall，suggeststhegovernmentstrengthenthedynamicsofreleasingnationaldebt．Keywords：nationaldebtmoderatescalepoleplacementIll原創(chuàng)性聲明本人聲明，所呈交的學(xué)位論文是本人在導(dǎo)師指導(dǎo)下進(jìn)行的研究工作及取得的研究成果。盡我所知
8、，除了論文中特別加以標(biāo)注和致謝的地方外，論文中不包含其他人已經(jīng)發(fā)表或撰寫過的研究成果，也不包含為獲得中南大學(xué)或其他單位的學(xué)位或證書而使用過的材料。與我共同工作的同志對本研究所作的貢獻(xiàn)均已在論文中作了明確的說明。作者簽名：主塹仝莖日期：蘭塑L年址月坐日關(guān)于學(xué)位論文使用授權(quán)說明本人了解中南大學(xué)有關(guān)保留、使用學(xué)位論文的規(guī)定，即：學(xué)校有權(quán)保留學(xué)位論文，允許學(xué)位論文被查閱和借閱；學(xué)?？梢怨紝W(xué)位
