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1、天津財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)博士學(xué)位論文建筑安全事故成因分析及預(yù)警管理研究姓名:馮利軍申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別:博士專業(yè):企業(yè)管理指導(dǎo)教師:李書(shū)全20080501ABSTRACTWiththedevelopmentofnationaleconomycontinuallyandsteadily,thebuildingadustryhasalreadybecometheimportantstrutindustryofnationaleconomy.Thegnornlouslvestmentsofengineeringconstructionandthecharac
2、teristicsoflabor-intensiveshavemadeuildingsafetycasualtiesandcomparativelyseriouspropertyloss.Thousandsoflaborsdieanuallybecauseofbuildingsafetyaccidentandtheeconomiclossisovertenbillionandigherthanthewesterndevelopedcountryfar.111esituationofbuildingsafetyofourcountry
3、;onlysecondtothemineanddangerouschemicalproductfield,andhasinfluencedtheastainabledevelopmentofthebuildingindustryseriously.硒egovernmentset印thetruggleobjectiveofconstructingthewell—offsocietyin16thNationalCongressof',ommunistPartyofChinaandemphasizedthatwemustpayclosea
4、ttentiontothesafetyinroductionandguaranteenationalwealthandpeople’Slife’Ssecurity.OnFebruary28,2005,leNationalSafetyProductionSupervisionandAdministrationBureauispromotedastheationalsafetyinproductionandsupervisedandmanagedthegeneralbureau.Theseituationsindicatethatbui
5、ldingsafetyproblemhasalreadycausedthegreatattentionofthetateCouncilandrelevantdepartmentatpresent.Accordingtothehigherhappeningrateofbuildingsafetyaccident,firstweanalyzetheurrentsituationofthebuildingsafetyproductionandmanagementofourcountryusingsome-.searchmeanssucha
6、sthequestionnaireandon-the—Spotinterview,etcinthispaper.Thenwenalyzetheinfluencefactorsthatcausethebuildingsafetyaccidentonthebasisofthenalysisofcurrentstudyanddrawtheconclusionthatthesefactorsarethereasonofworkers,tings,environmentandmanagement.Andweconstructthetheory
7、modelARCTM(Accident:ootCausesTracingModel)foranalyzingthebuildingsafetyaccidentaccordingtotheselctors.Itishelpfulforanalyzingtheunfavorableconstructionconditionofconstructionsite.econdly,westudythemethodofSupportVectorMachineandforecastandevaluatetheuildingsafetyaccide
8、ntusingthismethod.Accordingtoourresearchresult,weknowthatthemthodofSupportVectorMachineisfeasibletolittlesampledataof