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1、天津財經(jīng)大學博士學位論文建筑安全事故成因分析及預警管理研究姓名:馮利軍申請學位級別:博士專業(yè):企業(yè)管理指導教師:李書全20080501ABSTRACTWiththedevelopmentofnationaleconomycontinuallyandsteadily,thebuildingadustryhasalreadybecometheimportantstrutindustryofnationaleconomy.Thegnornlouslvestmentsofengineeringconstructionandthecharac
2、teristicsoflabor-intensiveshavemadeuildingsafetycasualtiesandcomparativelyseriouspropertyloss.Thousandsoflaborsdieanuallybecauseofbuildingsafetyaccidentandtheeconomiclossisovertenbillionandigherthanthewesterndevelopedcountryfar.111esituationofbuildingsafetyofourcountry
3、;onlysecondtothemineanddangerouschemicalproductfield,andhasinfluencedtheastainabledevelopmentofthebuildingindustryseriously.硒egovernmentset印thetruggleobjectiveofconstructingthewell—offsocietyin16thNationalCongressof',ommunistPartyofChinaandemphasizedthatwemustpayclosea
4、ttentiontothesafetyinroductionandguaranteenationalwealthandpeople’Slife’Ssecurity.OnFebruary28,2005,leNationalSafetyProductionSupervisionandAdministrationBureauispromotedastheationalsafetyinproductionandsupervisedandmanagedthegeneralbureau.Theseituationsindicatethatbui
5、ldingsafetyproblemhasalreadycausedthegreatattentionofthetateCouncilandrelevantdepartmentatpresent.Accordingtothehigherhappeningrateofbuildingsafetyaccident,firstweanalyzetheurrentsituationofthebuildingsafetyproductionandmanagementofourcountryusingsome-.searchmeanssucha
6、sthequestionnaireandon-the—Spotinterview,etcinthispaper.Thenwenalyzetheinfluencefactorsthatcausethebuildingsafetyaccidentonthebasisofthenalysisofcurrentstudyanddrawtheconclusionthatthesefactorsarethereasonofworkers,tings,environmentandmanagement.Andweconstructthetheory
7、modelARCTM(Accident:ootCausesTracingModel)foranalyzingthebuildingsafetyaccidentaccordingtotheselctors.Itishelpfulforanalyzingtheunfavorableconstructionconditionofconstructionsite.econdly,westudythemethodofSupportVectorMachineandforecastandevaluatetheuildingsafetyaccide
8、ntusingthismethod.Accordingtoourresearchresult,weknowthatthemthodofSupportVectorMachineisfeasibletolittlesampledataof