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1、摘要隨著我國小城市建設(shè)發(fā)展迅速,公交需求量也在快速增長。但與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展速度和城市化發(fā)展水平相比,公共交通的發(fā)展還遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)不能滿足小城市社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的需求?;谝陨媳尘?,如何完善、優(yōu)化小城市公交線網(wǎng)規(guī)劃,一直是規(guī)劃設(shè)計(jì)研究人員探索的一項(xiàng)重要課題。論文首先通過對(duì)小城市交通系統(tǒng)特征進(jìn)行了闡述,重點(diǎn)分析了小城市的道路系統(tǒng)特征和客運(yùn)交通系統(tǒng)特征。結(jié)合以上的分析,對(duì)小城市的公交線網(wǎng)現(xiàn)狀存在的問題進(jìn)行了簡要總結(jié)。其次,基于交通需求預(yù)測(cè)理論,把小城市的公共交通需求預(yù)測(cè)分成四部分:社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)預(yù)測(cè)、發(fā)生與吸引預(yù)測(cè)、分布預(yù)測(cè)和分配預(yù)測(cè),分析并探討了適合小城市實(shí)際情況的需求預(yù)測(cè)模型和方法。再次
2、,通過分析小城市公交線網(wǎng)規(guī)劃的影響因素,探討了小城市公交線網(wǎng)規(guī)劃原則和工作思路。結(jié)合第二章和第三章的分析,確定小城市公交線網(wǎng)規(guī)劃的技術(shù)路線和方法,并通過方案評(píng)價(jià)體系來進(jìn)行線網(wǎng)優(yōu)化。論文最后以巴彥浩特鎮(zhèn)公交線網(wǎng)規(guī)劃為例,通過分析巴彥浩特道路交通現(xiàn)狀和客運(yùn)交通系統(tǒng)現(xiàn)狀,得出巴彥浩特存在的交通問題和制約城市公共交通發(fā)展的因素。根據(jù)小城市公交線網(wǎng)規(guī)劃方法,提出巴彥浩特公交線網(wǎng)優(yōu)化方案。關(guān)鍵詞:小城市小城市交通系統(tǒng)特征分析公共交通需求預(yù)測(cè)公交線網(wǎng)規(guī)劃AbstractWithChlna。ssma¨urbanconstruc嘲ondeVeIOpmentisrapid,busd
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